Anthony P's NBA Model January 11, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 11, 2023

I have no explanation for how the Suns walked into Golden State last night with a roster decimated by injuries and winning straight up as a 12.5 dog. They were up by almost 30 at a certain point. Curry logged in 31 minutes of play and scored 24 pts..... nonsense ffs...Anyway, the model found value on the Suns but I stayed away. Congrats to those that had the balls to tail.

The model shows us that the wrong team is a favorite in Washington tonight. The Bulls are betting 1.5 pts on the road while the model is projecting them to win by 1. The difference is not significant, and the Bulls are a fair play tonight, which worries me a little. This is another game that is difficult to handicap with DeRozan potentially missing tonight's game and Porzingis, Gafford, and Kispert all questionable for the Wizards. In a nutshell, if all those players don't play the model has the Bulls at -1. If all or any of those players play, the projection will change.

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