Anthony P's NBA Model February 4, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR FEB 4, 2023

I had my doubts about the under 230 in Washington last night and I ended up being right. We have 2 value plays tonight and I am not sure I agree with any of them.

I will try to share my thoughts by 3 pm this afternoon.

UPDATE:

There is a big gap in defensive ratings between the Knicks and Clippers and LA has a decent edge in this game. Since George and Leonard have been back their offense has also improved and that was expected. They are 1-2 L3 however 6-2 L8 and 7-2 ATS last 9 meetings in New York.

I have no interest in the Pels and Lakers game. Westbrook and James are questionable while Davis is probable. The Pels have lost 10 straight and are 2-8 ATS with the offense barely scoring 105 pts per game in their last 7 games.

Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games