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Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Matchup Preview - September 25th, 2022

Editor

Cristian Javier (48th ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Astros as they battle the Orioles and Austin Voth (238th ranked SP) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The quick scouting report on Javier: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 60.2% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (27.2%). Meanwhile, Voth primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (41.3%) and his most-used secondary offering is his curveball (32.7%). The Sharp Model X projects Javier for 2.5 earned runs and 6.0 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Voth is forecasted for 2.8 earned runs and 3.3 strikeouts.

Houston Astros Insights

  • The Baltimore Orioles have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in this matchup.

  • Trey Mancini has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

  • The Houston Astros bullpen profiles as the 6th-best in MLB, according to THE BAT.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

  • Austin Voth's 2357 rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 78th percentile among starting pitchers.

  • The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Terrin Vavra stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

  • Anthony Santander has a high pull rate on his flyballs (37.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.45 Units / 28% ROI)

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.15 Units / 48% ROI)

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