NBA Bet of the Day | January 23, 2024
Mitch S
In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in the NBA today.
In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport.
OVERALL RECORD: 131-87-3, +33.30uRECAP: Back in the winning column once again, as our Orlando Magic hit easily as they blew out the Heat in the battle for Florida. We went 2-1 overall on Sunday - to give us our first NBA winning day in like, a week. Then, we rebounded our efforts and went 1-2, to drop back down in the win column, despite no free pick yesterday. If you haven’t heard, I’m going to be a DAD! That’s why there was no article yesterday.
January 23, 2024Tonight, we have a matchup on the Western part of the continent, with the Portland Trail Blazers taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder in the heart of Oklahoma. The Blazers are one of the worst road teams in the league, coming in at a whopping 5-13 on the road. The Thunder, meanwhile, are not only one of the best teams in the league overall, but they’re a dominant 16-5 on their home court.
When we look at our Money Handles tool in the Sharp App, we aren’t seeing as much of a difference in money handles as we’d like. BUT, the Blazers are in the FADE section of our Sharp Report, and our Sharp AI has this game at a 10.5 spread. Nevertheless, I believe in the Thunder to be able to pull this off.
The Thunder are 13-3 when they’re favored at home ATS, which is the best percentage in the league with teams over ten games played in that category. As well, the Thunder are just a dominant ATS overall when they’re at home, going 16-5 – in every single win that they’ve had this season at home, they’ve covered ATS. Oklahoma City has also covered in 9 out of their last 10 games when playing the Blazers, and have won all ten. It’s just a dominant team absolutely imposing their will against a lesser opponent.
And it shows in our statistics as well. The Blazers are the worst offense in the league, with the worst FG percentage in the league. They rank last in total rebounds and they average 1.4 assists per turnover - also good for worst in the league. They barely score 104 points per game on the road, and the Thunder average 124 points per game at home. I’m not saying that they’ll win by twenty, but gosh… doesn’t the data look good?
Finally, OKC is the second-best home offense in the league, and third in total scoring. They aren’t the best rebounding team in the league, but Portland ranks third-to-last in defensive rebounds. They don’t turn the ball over, and they dominate possession.
Let’s take the Thunder in this game to cover a HUGE spread. If the spread scares you - it’s important to remember. The Blazers have covered just ONCE in their last ten games against the Thunder. Yikes! PICK: Oklahoma City -13.5
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