Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps February 22 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by setting their bet limits lower when posting a spread or moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits.

Major fail from the Avs. Both teams do well during afternoon games however Boston is 7-1-1 and played much better. The sharps and I were wrong on Colorado. We got the Flame right however and I was spot on handicapping the game. It was a close one but Calgary came on top. The Leafs looked they were the habs for the first 2 periods. Total domination from the Habs.

Minnesota Wild

The Wild is going to be a very popular play in regulation tonight as we are seeing action coming in on the 60 min play, moneyline and puck line. The Sens are almost dead last in scoring however middle of the pack in defensive metrics. The Wild has been dominating this matchup going 9-1 in their last 10 games scoring on average 4.2 GF/G and giving up 2.30 goals per game. The Sens are 0-5 in their last 5 home games however played some great hockey versus the Rangers and Bruins. Market makers opened the Wild a -160 favourite yesterday morning and sharps slammed the -160, -170 and -198. The line settled at -215 overnight. My model has the Wild -170 and the total at 6.46 therefore we have some value on the over and the Sens. If Murray doesn't suit up the line jumps closer to what it is now but if he's playing then the Wild's line is inflated versus a goalie with an SV% of .942 in his last 10 games.

Anaheim Ducks

Things are not looking too good in San Jose. They only won 2 of their last 12 games and 1 out of 14 when being an underdog. The Ducks have been awful vs Western conference opponents going 1-10 in their last 11. The only thing working for the Sharks is that they are keeping the score close in their losses going 8-3 on the puck line in their last 11. Gibson SV% dropped in the last 10 games and gave up 4 or more goals in his last 4 starts. Reimer and Gibson are set to start in this contest and market makers opened the Ducks a -120 fav yesterday morning. By the afternoon the line jumped to -145 went as high as -152 this morning. My NHL model has the Ducks at -128 therefore opening some value on the Sharks. I will be staying away from this game.

Good luck today

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