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NBA Bet of the Day | March 14, 2024

Mitch S
Mitch S
In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in the NBA today.

In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.

If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport. 

OVERALL RECORD: 185-122-3, +48.76u
RECAP: Another previous winner, as we continue our absolutely insane run in the NBA of the Day streets. The Pistons absolutely ran away with this game, which is not something that we say often, but we are feeling incredibly good about this run – up 48 units and we are looking to surpass 50 units in the NBA by the end of the week with how hot we’ve been. The methods don’t change, and we’re ready to rock and roll today in a huge slate in the NBA. 

March 14th, 2024

The Chicago Bulls are looking to sneak into the playoffs, and have been sneaky good over their last few games… until last night, when their sparkplug Coby White was walked of the court and may not be able to return this season. On a back-to-back, against one of the best unders teams in the league, we’re going to dive deep into the total on this game. 

While the Money Handles tool hasn’t updated yet, we have some significant data from the Sharp Report to go off of. On the Sharp Report, we have different color coding; for example, a blue play means that three or more Sharps are on a specific side. In this early morning, we’re seeing already that we have three sharps that have hammered this under, already dropping from 216.5 to 215.5. At some books, this total even started at 220 and has lowered… the line movement is absolutely crazy for this play, which is something we love to look at. 

As well, we can look at the differing trends that we’re seeing in this game. When the Bulls have a rest disadvantage, the under covers 75% of the time. While the Bulls certainly may not set the tone in this game, it’s important to note that they have a significant rest disadvantage tonight.

Setting the tone tonight will be Paul George and the Los Angeles Clippers, who may even be able to set the tone on the total as well; they’re a significant under team, and in games where they’re the away favorite, the over is 8-14, and usually hits the under by an average of one point. That’s not incredibly significant, but it’s something worth noting. As well, after a loss, the under is 13-9 on the season for the Clippers, winning by an average of four points. The Clippers trends all point towards the under in this game. 

While the Bulls may have pulled off a great win last night, the Clippers rest, the trends, and the tone of this game all points towards the Clippers being able to set the tone for this game. The play is so good that the Sharps even jumped on it, too. Let’s take the under on the second game of this Chicago back-to-back. 

PICK: Los Angeles / Chicago under 215.5

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