Anthony P's NBA Model December 25, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 25, 2022

Merry Christmas everyone.

The model has the Knicks favorite and the line has been moving in their favor. Market maker Betonline opened the 76ers at -3.5 10 days ago and it moved up as high as -4 and as low as -1.5. This morning the line moved from +2.5 to +2 and this with 70% of the handle on the Kincks. I bet against the 76ers this week and it looked good when the Clippers were up by 20 but that didn't last and the 76ers won and covered. Embiid and the 76ers have won their last 7 games and are 6-1 ATS however their struggles are still real with a 5-7 SU record on the road this year. New York was looking really good before losing back-to-back games to the Raptors and Bulls. The Knicks don't cover well at home and Embiid is really at the top of his game right now. My lean is on the 76ers.

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