Val's ATP Indian Wells Quarterfinals Play

Dimitrov was a no show yesterday which killed the opportunity to hit the over. Today we back a player that has been good to us when backing him.

Record 23-29 (-4.69 units)

Alexander Zverev +1.5 sets -126 (Risk 2.52 for 2 units) Expected start time 6pm EST March 14th.

German A. Zverev faces Spaniard C. Alcaraz in a quarterfinal match at Indian Wells tonight. Both have played well to this point, Zverev's toughest match was his last versus top 10 player A. De Minaur needing 3 sets, but there disappointment there as De Minaur is playing great tennis this season. Alcaraz's toughest match was in the 2nd round when he needed 3 sets to beat the pesky Italian M. Arnaldi. This will be a rematch from the Aussie Open when these two faced each other in the quarters as well, when Zverev upset Alcaraz as a significant dog. Lines makers do not give Zverev enough respect as he's beaten Alcaraz 7 times in 10 meetings, but continue to make him a big dog in their matches. We backed Zverev at the Aussie open +1.5 sets in a best of 5 and I will back him here at +1.5 sets in a best of 3 which would be easier to cover, Statsational's ATP model has a 5% edge for Zverev on the ML, we will back him +1.5 sets for that extra insurance. Statsational's models are available to Pro Subscribers, give it a try and use code val20 for a discount,   

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