Anthony P's NHL Model October 31, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 31, 2022

The Devils continue to be hot and the Blue Jackets had no chance yesterday. New Jersey dominated all facets of the game and continues to impress. Just to give you guys an idea, the Devils top the league in SOG and SOGs, and yesterday they put up 53 which 22 were in the 3rd period when they had a 4-2.

We have a small slate today and the model likes the Blues and the over 6. I wouldn't pull the trigger on the over yet since it looks that this total can drop to 5.5. Both defenses have been awful this year, which is odd since they are built to play a defensive style but it doesn't seem to work this year. The Kings are 29th in defense and allow on average over 4 GA/G. Maybe this is what the Blues need since they only scored 8 goals in their last 5 games. St Louis's defense is 26th allowing 3.6 GA/G and they just gave up 7 goals to the Habs which are 23rd in GF/G. Tonight they will face the 7th best offense that averages 3.5 GF/G. and it doesn't get any easier. The home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and the under is 4-1 in L5 games. Lastly, if the Blues can exploit the Kings PK this game can easily go over. The Blues have the 4th best PP while the Kings are in the bottom third of the league with a PK of 78%.

The Blues were embarrassed at home on Saturday and I'm sure they will want to do better in front of their fans but the sharp money is going over the way. I prefer the over and if this total drops to 5.5 ill consider putting in a little more than usual.

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