Anthony P's NHL Model October 27, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 27, 2022

The Preds line movement, from -145 to -171 opened a ton of value on the Blues (24% EV). At the book, we have sharps on Nashville and this looks like a Sharps vs model showdown. My model's projection is with Greiss between the pipes tonight. Yesterday I wrote about the Blues lack of scoring going to be an issue and it was the same issue yesterday. The Preds are 1-6 and have many going WTF????!!!!! The Blues had to travel overnight, they are running their backup, they can't score and the Preds are really hungry to get back in the W column... I'll side with the sharp money.

The model is pointing to a potential early trend of unders. A part from the over in Ottawa, which Rich is already on, we can see many spots where the model likes the under.

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