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Anthony P's NHL Model October 24, 2022

Anthony P
As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.
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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 24, 2022



The Blackhawks featured again as a top value and made another comeback and won versus the Kraken.

For tonight the Capitals feature as the top value with a 14% EV on the road in New Jersey. The Caps have been disappointing to start the season and consistency keeps on being the issue. They lost both road games so far and they will visit a Devils team that one 3 straight after a rocky start.

As for the Devils, they started the season losing to Philly and Detroit however positive regression was written all over the wall based on the SOGs and SOG/A. In their first 2 games, they averaged 38 SOG and allowed 23. In their 3 following games, in which they won all 3, they blasted on average 40 SOG and have allowed under 20 SOG/A. That is exceptional!

I don't think this is a good spot for the Caps unless you like to buy low on one team and sell high on the other. The Devils are leading the league in SOG and SOG/a and until that trend slows down the Devils are in a good spot to keep on winning.

Join the conversation for free in our discord server and ask me how you can get a free month of the Sharp App

Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games

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