Anthony P's NHL Model November 16, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 16, 2022

It's absolutely normal to see a high total between Ottawa and Buffalo. Both teams are top 10 in scoring and in the bottom 10 in GA/G. Also, Ottawa is 6th in xGF/60 and 7th in xGA/60. Both starters have SV% under .900 and both teams take and allow a shit ton of shots. The trend with Ottawa is simple, if they play against a good defensive team they will get scored on a lot, if they play against a bad defensive team, they will score a lot. Combined both teams have 2 wins in their last 20 games and they will want to win this one badly. The Sabres are on a b2b and they have lost the only game they were in that spot. Once get easier in Ottawa, they are 1-6 last 6 games in Ottawa and the under is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings in Ottawa. Lastly, the Sens are on fire scoring 6 goals in their last 4 games while the Sabres gave up at least 1 PP goal in 7 straight games. DFS players... Ottawa PP1 looks very interesting tonight.

The Blackhawks show value tonight however it's not the time to fade the Blues. They are on a run after their worst losing streak in franchise history. They just beat Vegas and Colorado but Binny was solid stopping a total of 83 shots in both games. If he doesn't play then I can consider a play in Chicago.

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