Anthony P's NHL Model November 1, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 1, 2022

I am glad I stayed away from the Blues value last night however I did play the over 6 and it looked good going in the 3rd period. The score was 5-1 and we just needed 1 goal. We didn't get it and we pushed.

The Capitols and Bruins are interesting values tonight. I will ignore the value on the Coyotes. the line is inflated but I don't believe Arizona will be able to win tonight.

Supporting the Capitols tonight will be a contrarian approach. Sharp money is the cause of the line move which opened up the value on the Caps. The Caps traveled overnight and will be playing on b2b nights. Lindgren is set to start for Washington. I would stay away from the Caps in this spot especially since Oshie will be out and Carlson is doubtful tonight. He missed last night's game.

The Penguins are glad to be back home after a disastrous trip out west. They lost all 4 games, and have scored only 6 goals in their last 4, and 3 of them were on the powerplay. So, this means that in the last 4 goals they only scored 3 goals 5v5. AWFUL! The Bruins are flying. They scored 18 goals in their last 5 and won all 5. They are 8-2 in their last 10 and the PP scored 5 goals in their last 4 games. Boston is 2nd in GA/G and as mentioned the Pens are having a hard time scoring! Also, I love to target teams when they are back from a road trip. I like the Bruins tonight.

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