Anthony P's NHL Model January 31, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free Discord server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.


NHL BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 31, 2023

The Jets needed a huge 3rd period to overcome a 1-0 deficit and win 4-2. At the end of the second period, I wrote to a friend that it would be time to take the Jets at +150 to win the game but the way my night was going yesterday I didn't pull the trigger.

The lowest favorite is at -172 and that is enough to keep me away however I will go thru some notes later on and who knows maybe we can find a good spot to support an underdog or maybe even a parlay!

I will update this article before 2 pm

UPDATE:

2 more slates before the NHL break and anything can happen. I can easily see all 3 favorites dominating tonight but I can't seem to find a spot where the underdog has a chance.

The Canes are 5-0 last 5 games, have scored on average 4.40 GF/G, and getting stellar play for their netminders and defense allowing 2.20 GA/F last 5 games. The Kings are having a hard time scoring and allowing 3.50 GA/G since Jan 17th.

Based on the last 3-4 games there is a huge gap between Ottawa and Montreal. The Sens are a perfect 3-0, have scored on average 4.33 GF/G, and have allowed 1.00 GA/G. The Habs can't wait for the break and it shows. In the last 3 games, they have scored 1.67 GF/G and allowed close to 4.33 GA/G.

Washington is a -205 favorite on the road and that's a heavy price based on their recent play. However, they've been dominating the BJ's and won 6 of their last 7 meetings. The Capitals are 13-3 in their last 16 games playing on 1 day of rest and regrouping well. Columbus can't contain teams that are trying to step up from a bad performance and are 5-16 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game... Washington lost 6-2 in Toronto 2 nights ago.

Join the conversation for free in our discord server and ask me how you can get a free month of the Sharp App

Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games