Anthony P's NHL Model January 12, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 12, 2023

I am not in the best of moods today. I had a shitty betting day yesterday and now we are expecting 10-15 inches of snow in the next 24-48 hours. While I was preparing this article I remembered that I threw a little parlay in hockey based on what we reviewed here yesterday. Since there was no value available, I decided to do a quick review on the small slate and pointed out which underdog can win.

I suggested sparkling a little cash on the Flyers, the over in LA, and the Preds. That's what I did and I added the Oilers. I got 3 of 4 right and was left empty-handed.

Stop complaining that the model not displaying much value on a daily basis. This is not the point of my model. My model is tight AF with the oddsmaker and it just gets tighter and tighter as the season goes. The best NHL model plays are 6-3 in January for +2.33 units and 54-47 +4.55 units since November.

The Leafs and Blues are the only games I would say are worth digging into. With all the injuries on the Blues I scratched off that game. Then we have the Leafs that played a rough one last night without Matthews and had to travel overnight to Detroit. The Leafs are 5-0-1-0 on b2b this season and we have yet to get any news on Matthews since they haven't practiced this morning. The Leafs have totally dominated Detroit and have won 23 of the last 26 games but without potentially Matthews and a b2b spot Detroit is in a good situation for an upset IMO. The Wings scored 7 last game on 23 SF so they got lucky that Hellebuyck was sleeping in his crease. My lean would be on Detroit if Matthews doesn't play.


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