Anthony P's NHL Model December 9, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 9, 2022

Favorites went 5-0 last night with a dramatic finish in Dallas. The value didn't hit and I hope everyone stayed away as I recommended.

The AI did show lots of value on the Jets and they won with ease.

We have another crazy slate ahead of us tonight. Favorites have been hitting like crazy the last 2-3 days and we can expect some regression.... or not?

We have the model and AI aligned on 4 games however the AI's projections are a little crazy.

We have a 14% value on the Islanders on the road, the AI has them favorite at -108. There is also value in the Sabres due to the surge in their offense recently however they ARE NOT -300 favorites. This interpretation from the AI simply means it really likes Buffalo. Also, the over is in play in that game with both teams scoring 14 and 21 goals in their last 3.

The Kraken is 8-2 on the road however lost their last 2 games while the Caps won their last 2 games by playing great defense and basically shut down the Oilers. Both my model and the AI likes the Kraken.

Colorado has 1 win in their last 5 and decimated by injuries. Nate is out for 4 weeks and now they will face a Rangers team that seems that have found their mojo back. We saw what Boston did to Colorado last game. It's going to be tough to support the value in this game. Both the model and AI like Colorado at home.

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