Anthony P's NHL Model December 18, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 18, 2022

There is a ton of value on the board today and it's a little ridiculous the way the numbers came out today.

Ottawa and Minnesota are both on a 4 game winning streak and the model suggests this game should be closer than we think. Both teams have played weak opponents therefore we should see a more competitive game in this one. Ottawa is on a road b2b and will have Forsberg between the pipes. The Wild is the better team and more rested. The Sens are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota and 1-10 in the last 10 meetings.

The Canes, Jets, Sharks, and Rangers all played last night also.

The Rangers are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and my positive regressive model is giving Chicago a higher rating than expected. This is the type of game that none of us expect the rangers to lose but it can happen because it's hockey. Igor is set to start tonight since he took the night off yesterday. I can't support the Blackhawks, they've been TERRIBLE but due for a win.

The Sharps played a solid game yesterday but lost. They are now playing a Flames team that looks beatable by any team. The Sharks are 2-4 with no rest this season and Kahkonen is confirmed. The road team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings however the Sharks have dominated the last 16 meetings winning 12 games. They are also 7-3 at home with playing Calgary. San Jose has been terrible at home this year and the Flames have nothing to brag about on the road this year. My lean is on the Sharks.

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