Anthony P's NHL Model December 13, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 13, 2022

The Stars show value again tonight in Jersey but ill stay away once again, just like last night. The AI liked the Blues and Wild and those were tough bets to make and hard to watch but they both won.

The Model and AI are aligned on 4 games and I agree with 1 of them Dallas, Seattle, Buffalo, and Philadelphia are all showing value. The Stars, Seattle, and Philadelphia are all on the road and the Stars are on a road b2b game. Dallas is 0-4 in their last 4 games with no rest and the under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 when playing the 4th game in 6 days. We should see Wedgewood and Schmid in nets tonight.

I can make a case to support the value on the Kraken. They are 7-1 in their last 8 road games and the line is a little inflated for the Lighting.

With both teams with an axGF of 3.6, we might be in for a scoring feast in Buffalo. My model has the Sabres with a 14% value at home with their 2nd best offense scoring on average 3.9 goals per game. Both defenses are ranked in the bottom 5 and the Kings have been allowing 0.5 more goals per game than their mean in the last 10 games. The Kings have also shown signs of fatigue in Columbus and tonight will be playing the 3rd game in 4 nights.


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