Anthony P's NHL Model December 12, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 12, 2022

We have a couple of great games tonight and the Pens and Stars are one of them. The model has value on the Stars and the AI likes them also. The Stars offense really picked up in the last month and their GF/G jumped from 3.11 to 3.81 but have played .500 hockey in the last 10 games and haven't been consistent. The Pens have won 5 straight and only lost 2 games in their last 10. The home team is 19-8 in the last 27 and 4-1 in the last 5 games. The Pens have allowed 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 4 games. I would lean on Pittsburgh. The AI has the Stars at -213 and it's a little extreme IMO however it just means it really likes the Stars.

The AI also likes the Blues and Wild. St Louis played yesterday and was embarrassed and is 2-12 in the last 14 after scoring 2 goals or less. The Wild is 27-7 last 34 games at home against the Oilers. The line is moving on the Oilers with news that Gustavsson might be in nets for the Wild but he grades out better than Fleury this season with his 0.920 SV%.


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