Anthony P's WNBA Model June 22, 2023
Anthony P
We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.
This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.
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WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR JUNE 22, 2023
Betting buffs, let's talk WNBA. The forecast was spot on when it predicted an upswing on the over in Phoenix - the final score was a smashing 178 against a closing total of 163, as per Betonline. I really didn't think Phoenix was going to able to score over 70 pts but they did.
Today's lines are playing hard to get, with barely any value so far.
While the Suns shine bright, we're not quite banking on them to cover. No shade on their skills, it's just that they've been a bit patchy when it comes to covering post-victory. But, it's a Thursday, and something about this day of the week works magic for them – they're sitting pretty at an 11-2 ATS in their recent Thursday showdowns. That being said, I'm still a bit of a rookie in this league, so take that trend with a grain of salt.
Next up, let's talk about the Minnesota Lynx. Their defense is about as solid as a sandcastle right now, and with 3 out of their 4 wins against the Sparks, their credentials are shaky. The Suns at -4.5 seem like a sweet deal when the raw projection is sitting at -6.5. So, I'm backing the Suns to cover the spread.
Now, let's skim through the rest. The Washington Mystics are the obvious favorites, but remember the grudge match with the Chicago Sky just last Sunday? It was a nail-biter. Plus, the Mystics have a habit of letting teams linger, and the Sky have lost by a hair's breadth in 3 out of their 7 losses. The Sky have got some offensive firepower to rival any team, and home advantage could make a difference. Home underdogs are cashing in at a 64% ATS rate, so taking the points looks promising.
Lastly, let's talk about the Indiana Fever. They've been going toe-to-toe with teams, showing signs of upping their game-closing chops. The Seattle Storm might have the home court advantage, but they're currently languishing below average on both ends. I'd steer clear of the Storm with the current reasonable line. The Fever are in the mix for a playoff spot, so they've got the motivation to clinch wins. I'm in on the Fever.
MODEL Bet: Suns -4.5 or better.
Good luck
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