Anthony P's WNBA Model June 16, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JUNE 16, 2023

The model for Friday is updated. We have some value on another under. The total is moving down at the book. The Sparks opened at 163 and it's down to 162.5.

As we plunge headfirst into today's action, we're looking squarely at the Mercury and the Mystics. The Mercury, with the league's poorest defense, isn't holding up well with a 2-6 record. They're gearing up to tackle the Mystics, who boast the best defense in the league, on their home turf. The betting lines are skewed, presumably due to the absence of Griner from the Phoenix lineup, pushing the spread to a -11.5 in favor of the Mystics, a jump from the -9 range the model is projecting. However, the Mystics are reeling from a recent loss to Indiana, a game where they were slight road favorites. The Mercury's track record gives them a slight edge, as they are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 encounters and 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games in Washington. The Mystics, on the other hand, are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up loss and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Despite the Mystics' superior defensive capabilities, their recent focus issues make it difficult to justify the almost 12-point spread in their favor.

Turning our attention to Los Angeles, we see potential value on the under. However, given the 50/50 track record on totals this season after 51 games, it's prudent to observe from the sidelines for a week or so. This leaves us with Minnesota at +5.5, dropping to +5, mirroring the model's projection. The Sparks, a team brimming with talent and enjoying the home-court advantage, naturally, get the nod from the bookmakers. But the Lynx aren't pushovers, having triumphed over the Sparks just last Sunday. Their superior rebounding and proficient free-throw shooting offer them a foothold to stay competitive. The Sparks have been somewhat unpredictable lately, making the Lynx, the road underdogs, an appealing bet. Supporting the road underdog is the Lynx's 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings The under trending in 10 out of the last 12 Los Angeles encounters also supports the model's projections.

We can't support Washington based on their recent play and I can't bet on the Mercury without Griner. However, I would make a small bet on the Lynx at +5 or better!

Good luck

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