Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps September 3, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: Missouri over, Akron and UAB were the featured games on Sept 1. Sharps went 2-1 on those games.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The sharps kept the books very busy since week 0 with a ton of adjustments necessary from the books due to sharp action. I like to wait a week or 2 before hitting some CFB bets but I just couldn't resist and I regret it. I'm 0-2 to start the season and I'm sitting on 7 bets today!

Let's take a look at some of the biggest line moves and see if the tickets and money followed. Keep in mind this info comes from a book I have access and the info might be different than what you can see on our app.

Maryland from -21.5 to -24 tickets and money has followed.

Michigan -27.5 to -31 tickets and money has followed.

Appalachian st from +3 to -2 tickets on NC favor while money is on Appalachian st.

Connecticut from -17 to -20 tickets and money has followed.

Tulsa from -1.5 o -6.5 tickets and money has followed and this is a huge square play

Nebraska from -25.5 to -31.5 tickets and money has followed and almost all the money is on Nebraska

Texas St from +8.5 to -1 tickets and money has followed and this is one of the biggest liabilities at the book.

Let's follow the money on these games and see if the sharps were right. The books had to make adjustments and most of the time we will see games landing in the middle of the move and that is what I would like to bring my attention to.


Good luck today

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