Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps September 28 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
RECAP: Sharps were wrong on both the under in Cleveland and the Orioles.
We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.
It's relatively quiet for a day where there is only baseball. Weather because an issue this time of the year, managers resting players, and others call up their rookies.
The Yankees initially showed up on the sharp report but heavy money started coming in on the Jays. The Yankees are a big square tonight while it looks that the set of sharps liking the Jays has poured enough money to move this line down +120 to +108.
A steady 80 to 85% of handle on the Brewers made the book move the line from -135 to -150.
A set of sharps are also finding value on the Marlins overnight. The line moved down from +177 to +164 in the middle of the night.
That's all for now folks!!
Good luck today
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