Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps September 23 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: This article took the day off yesterday! Back at it today.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

We have a 3 game slate in college football today however there isn't much movement except the unders in Syracuse and the Air Force game.

In Syracuse, the total opened at 55 and dropped to 53.5 just so see it go back up to 55. The odd thing here is that with money still coming in on the over it took a drop of 2.5 points and then back up to 54. The total settled at 53 this morning. We obviously have 2 different sets of shapes betting the over and the under.

In the Air Force game, we have a similar story where one set of sharps hit the over 47.5 and the under at 48.5. From there, overwhelming money came on the under pushing down to 46 and the handle is now close to 55% on the under.

It's a little busier in baseball today.

Pittsburgh is moving the opposite way of the money. With 65% of the handle on the Cubs, the Pirates moved from +100 to -116.

The Phillies received some sharp money early this morning pushing the line from -135 to -152. Nola has been great bouncing back from a game where he allowed 4+ runs in his previous game.

Kremer and the Orioles are also moving the opposite way of the money. The Astros held 72% of the money this morning at -151 and the Orioles moved from +139 to +129.

Another weird move here, the handle moved from 34% to 57% for the Guardians however Texas went from -110 to -128.

Good luck today

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