Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps September 14, 2022 (1)

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: If you followed the money yesterday you took a beating. Someone asked me yesterday why I dropped the amount of MLB picks I posted on a daily basis, well the answer is simple it's September. On the other hand, the sharps at the book went 4-0.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

I am sorry to disappoint many however not much happened overnight with this 8 game slate. The sharp report is showing 4 games the sharps like but none of those really moved much.

Lopez and the Marlins are getting some early love. They opened at +134 yesterday and the line moved to +118 overnight and back up to +122 this morning. The Phillies own about 65% of the tickets while 70% of the money is on the Marlins. I expect this line to keep on going down.

The Mets just got swept by the Cubs and the Pirates just swept the Reds in a 4 game series. We would expect many on the Mets however it's the total that received the most attention. It opened at 8 yesterday and by night time the books dropped it to 7.5 with 82% of the handle on the under.

The under in Toronto is once again in play today. This total opened at 7.5 yesterday night, it dropped to 7 15 minutes in and back up to 7.5. Very early this morning the book dropped it again to 7 and it should sit steadily for the rest of the day. I'm not sure I agree with this. Gausman has been terrible at home last 6 games with an ERA of over 5 and McClanahan hasn't pitched in 2 weeks.

Good luck today

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