Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 9, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: Sharps jumped TCU at -5 and they cashed that bet. Sorry if you had the -7.5! Tennessee was impressive and kept LSU to 13 points hence the over didn't win. Tampa fought hard but Cleveland took the game in the 15th. Sharps were on Tampa.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

Don't you love Sundays? Jammed-packed day led by the NFL from morning to night! Check out my NFL model article for all the details on the early line movements.

In Baseball we have no movement and zero sharp interest. Market makers opened the line at around 1 am this morning and not much has happened. The Padres are actually holding 60% of tickets and handle.

In basketball, we have 4 more preseason games and it's also been very quiet except for the under in Sacramento. Consensus was one of the first to open the total at 218.5 and it dropped to 213.5 once Betonline opened it at 213. The total is currently at 212.5 and the value on the under is gone.

Tampa Bay, Buffalo, and Cleveland are currently the 3 most-wagered games. Green Bay is up there also however it's getting more action than it should since it's the only game early in the morning. It looks like this line will close at -9.5.

The Sharp Report is showing 5 plays, 4 totals, and 1 side.

The 49ers also feature on the square section of the sharp report. Basically, sharps and squares are on the 49er therefore it's just normal that Carolina is in the book liability section. So sum up the line movement here, sharps got on the 49ers at -3.5, -5, and -5.5. From there on the line was left alone but the book kept on moving the line up hoping for some Carolina money but it never happened. In the mix of all of that, lots of square money also came in on San Francisco.

Good luck today

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