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Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 5, 2022

Anthony P
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: The Pirates, once again, laid an egg. The over in Cincinnati didn't hit either. The money also failed the over in Miami. The Astros saved the night with a 10-0 beating over the Phillies

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

We got a busy day with MLB, CFB, NHL, and NBA going on. Mind you, NBA and NHL are in the preseason however it still gets many excited for the winter season.

There is a ton of OTB games in the MLB so I won't really focus there today except for a couple of obvious spots.

The Yankees opened a -148 favorite last night and sharp money hit the Rangers hard and pushed the line down to -117. The Yankees still own close to 70% of the handle but there is big money that came in on the Rangers at around 5 am this morning. Yankees are set to continue resting many. If you like the Yankees, make you the lineups are confirmed.

Many were on the Rays last night and they disappointed many. Today, the sharps are all over the Red Sox. They went from +110 to -114 this morning once Fleming was confirmed.

To complete the MLB, sharps continue to like the Twins in this series. The White Sox opened at -135 and they dropped down to -112. Sharps with the Twins at +120.

In CFB, I know there has been some drama with SMU and it's still unclear whos playing, whos not, whos sitting, and whos not! Some US books like DK and Sugarhouse opened UCF at -3.5 however Betonline opened it at -3. So -3 is the number. The line just went down to -2.5 this morning with 75% of the handle on SMU. There is no sharp money on a side however the under 65.5, 65, 64.5, and 63.5 have been hit since Oct 2nd.

In the NHL we continue seeing big moves and it's not any different today. The Capitals opened at -210 this morning and it jumped 55 pts to -265 within the first 4 hours.

Lastly we have some NBA folks!!! The sharp report has 3 totals where sharps took some interest. One of them is the under in Oklahoma City. The book posted a 217.5 at 8 am this morning and on low betting limits, it got slammed down to 214.5.

Good luck today

Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games


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