Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 4, 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
RECAP: The Cubs under and Phillies were easy wins yesterday while a bad beat in the under in Cleveland. The Twins looked good early on but lost 3-2. The plays went 2-2.
We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.
We have a huge MLB slate today that consists of 3 double headers and 3 games that are still OTB. Bet limits are still low at the book and ranger between 3 to 8k. The offshore market is quiet and we are seeing much more movement in the US markets.
Market maker Betonline failed to open lines in 6 games and waited for another market maker and then opened their lines.
Totals will once again own the spotlight today since most of the movements are there but we will mix it up with a couple of sides.
If you like the Cardinals make sure to show around for the best line. St Louis opened at -130 and is currently at -101 at Betonline where the sharps hit the Pirates this morning. The line is still at -118 on Sugarhouse and -125 at DK.
The over was hit in Cincinnati with Cessa and Assad on the mount. The total opened at 8o -120 yesterday afternoon and jumped 1/2 run and the juice followed. 8.5o -115 is the current number. Same situation in Miami with the over where the total opened at 7o -125 and jumped to 7.5o -123. The Marlins surprised many yesterday but it was a letdown spot for Atlanta! Nola shut down the Astros yesterday and Suarez will try and do the same today. He will face Verlander which received most of the support since the line opened this morning. The Astros were -178 for about 8 minutes and then it made 2 jumps to -181 and -191.
Good luck today
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