Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 3, 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
RECAP:
We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.
It's MNF folks!! The 49ers opened a -2.5 favorite on Sept 21and held close to 75% of the handle for about 6 days however the line started moving down on the 27th which signaled a reverse line movement. By the 30th the 49ers were a -1 favorite. Sharps were back on betting the 49ers yesterday and pushed the line back up to -2. We are sitting at -1.5 and the book is happy with the handle it received and have close to 50% on both sides.
it's VERY quiet in baseball today. We are seeing more movement on totals than on sides.
Cubs under moved down from 8 to 7.5 early this morning. We have 2 rookies that can dominate on the plate.
In Cleveland where we find 2 offenses that have been hot however we saw the total drop from 7 to 6.5 with Greinze and McKenzie on the mount making the under the sharps have an interest.
WE have a couple of games where I saw some small adjustments. The Twins went from +110 to -102 and the Phillies from +120 to +107. The White Sox are traveling back from the west coast and will be with Anderson and Robert and I would agree with the sharp money. Good luck today
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