Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 29, 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. RECAP of yesterday's games: TO FOLLOW, Devils, Columbus, Penguins, Arizona, Orlando under, Yale, and Florida Intl.
As of 9 pm EST Friday night. The most wagered games are in Tennessee, Penn State, Kansas State, and West Virginia. We will see how it changes overnight and we will review the most popular games and line movements.
In the NHL there is not much movement except the total in Dallas. It's moving down to 5.5 so I would grab the 6 under. My model has this game going under 5 goals.
In the NBA the Warriors already jumped a full point and are now at -9.5. Sacramento getting some love and it dropped from +4 to +3.
There is going to be some value on the Phillies at +145. We will have to wait and see what the sharps will do after tonight's game.
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