Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 24, 2023

Market Makers are pivotal figures in sports betting, shaping the market by setting initial lines. They employ a risk management strategy, starting with lower bet limits to assess early betting patterns and then increasing limits as the market adjusts.

The morning sharp report is a valuable resource for PRO subscribers, summarizing overnight developments. Updates throughout the day keep you informed about changes, with the final update around 4-5 pm EST. Any later movements often result from square money before game time.

To bolster your decision-making, use my betting models alongside the sharp report. When both sharp money and the models align, it's a strong indicator for making informed bets.

Now, let's delve into today's showdown between the market makers and the sharps.


RECAP of yesterday's games: We had no game to review yesterday.

With a chock-full schedule today, we're diving right into the heart of the action. From the NBA's tip-off to a riveting game 7 in the MLB playoffs, there's plenty on the plate for sports enthusiasts and bettors alike.

NBA Movements:
The NBA returns with a bang as two captivating matches grace the court. For the Golden State Warriors, the over leaped from an initial 232 to 234.5. Interestingly, the line started at -1 for the Warriors but seesawed between +1 and -1 since its inception. Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets saw an opening at -4.5, with betonline progressing to -5 and -6 as the morning progressed. As for the total, while steady for now, an upward trend seems to be on the horizon.

NHL Frenzy:
A colossal slate in the NHL awaits fans. An unprecedented scenario unfolds as all 32 teams enter the fray with each of the 16 games scheduled at different times. This is a strategic move from the NHL, aptly named the 'NHL frenzy'. Keep an eye out for the Dallas Stars as they take on Pittsburgh on the road. With Dallas's opening at -108, the momentum shifted in their favor, settling at -122. Over in Long Island, a tight, low-scoring contest is anticipated, with the total plummeting from an initial 6 to 5.5. The buzz in Las Vegas revolves around the totals, which began at 6.5 but descended to 6. The sharp report is bustling, boasting seven plays in the NHL today.

MLB's Pinnacle Match:
Tonight, the MLB playoffs teeter on a cliffhanger with a game 7. The moneyline on the Phillies witnessed subtle movements, inaugurating at -152 and migrating to -168 in several books.

College Football:
Amidst this plethora of events, college football holds its own. A significant shift is discernible in Western Kentucky, post their unexpected defeat at the hands of Jacksonville State. The market responded astutely, with Liberty, which began as a -3.5 favorite, witnessing a surge across all markets to -5.5. Recent updates indicate some market movers nudging the line further to -6. However, the highlight focuses on the over in Western Kentucky. Despite sharp bets on over 60, the total remains relatively stable. But there's room for debate. The offensive units of both teams are anticipated to encounter challenges, given the stellar defensive performances lately. With Liberty conceding an average of 17.5 points in their recent quartet of games and Western Kentucky a close 19.3 in their last trio, trends favor the under. A historical look amplifies this sentiment – the under has manifested in eight of Liberty's past 13 outings and consistently in Western Kentucky's last five home games. Given the backdrop, the advice leans towards an UNDER 61.5 POINTS for this game and I obviously don't agree with the sharps here.

RECAP: Liberty over 60

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