Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 23, 2022

2 years ago

Anthony P

While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: The Celtics, Leafs, and Oregon did their job however the sharps lost on the Kings, Oilers, and Texas

We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

The NFL lines were covered in my article with my model. I'll bump the article shortly. Please visit my channel if you have any questions.

In the NHL the sharps haven't taken a position in the Kraken game however the markets have moved then from -125 to -143 and this opened some value on the BlackHawks.

If you are looking for a big favorite to parlay and you want to be on the side of smart money, well I present you the Florida Panthers. Sharp money came in on them at around +186.

The Flyers are having an incredible start under Tortorella and they are facing the Sharks who are 1-6 to start the season. The Flyers looked dominant against the Preds yesterday and they were on the road. They traveled overnight and they will be on a b2b. Everything is pointing for an easy Flyers win however the sharp money landed on the Sharks at +122, +118, and +112. 71% of the handle is on the Sharks with 60% of the tickets on the Flyers.

In the NBA there wasn't much that happened overnight except for the Suns getting hammered on low max bet limits. The Suns opened at +1.5 yesterday and moved up to +2.5 with no indication of sharp money on the Clippers. Overnight a US book posted a +3 and since then sharps hit nonstop the +2.5, +2, and +1.5 which forced the book to make them -1 favorites.

To recap Kraken, Panthers, Sharks, and Suns.

Good luck today

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