Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 20, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: The movement in San Antonio was stupid yesterday. The Spurs didn't cover and the game went over while money was on the under. The Knick covered. Sharps were also right on Appalachian state however wrong with the Kraken.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

A tiny 2-game slate in the NBA but a 12-game slate in the NHL, plus we have some MLB and CFB.

In the NHL the sharp report is supporting 2 decent dogs. If you don't have access to the sharp report see below for how to redeem a free month of VIP access.

The Preds got popular early this morning going from -130 to -145. The handle is at 80% for the Preds and we can see this line moving up this afternoon. My model doesn't agree and there is no sharp money on them at the book

One of the biggest jumps on this slate is the Golden Knights. They lost a tough one in Calgary but my gosh they looked great for a team that underperformed last year. Keep in mind that they were crippled by injuries last year and they are much healthier this season. They opened at -161 favorite to the Jets which surprised many in Edmonton. This morning the line flew to -212. Vegas is not on the sharp report and haven't made it in the squares section either but those that have access to the sharp report, they've noticed that the Jets are receiving sharp money at the book. It happened at +150, +160, and +170. So basically, at my book sharps are betting on the Jets however elsewhere it's been all Vegas money. Who will be right?

In Baseball, there is no sharp money on a side however there is on the total. The total hasn't really moved from when it opened at 7. Outside of my book, we can see money coming in on the Yankees. At +140 the handle was at 65% for the Yankees but now at +125 the handle is at 52% and the books might have found the line they wanted.

In the NBA we have a showdown in LA between the Clippers and the Lakers. Initially, the sharp report showed sharp money on the over 220.5 and the total blasted off to 225.5, however, at 225.5 we saw buy back and sharps took the under. The total is still at 225.5 and it will take much more money on the under for this total to move down since 88% of the handle is still on the over.

Lastly, we have 2 CFB games and I have nothing to report except the sharps were on the under in South Alabama at 49.5 and it's now at 47.

Good luck today

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