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Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 17, 2022

Anthony P
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: It was a crazy day in the NFL. Sharps got it right on the Jets but failed on the Bucs.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

Sharps were on the Broncos early on however another set of sharps has been hitting the Chargers at -4. The sweet spot for the sharps was +6 on Denver but nonetheless, the handle is still high on the Broncos. The total is stable and has been moving between 45.6 and 46.5

Nothing much to report in MLB. The sharp report is showing that the sharps have been hitting the under 7.5 but only a handle full of books dropped the total to 7. My book, with sharp money on the under 7.5, moved the juice from -115 to -125. I believe it's a question of time and everyone will drop to 7. The weather is bad in NY.

NHL is where the most action is with a 9 game slate. We have 4 interesting moves to cover.

The first one is in New York where the Rangers opened a -180 favorite and the line flew to -236. I can't blame the sharps on this one my model is still showing some value on the Rangers at the current price.

The second game is the Kings in Detroit. Los Angeles opened at +102 and heavy money on the Kings put enough pressure to make them -137 favorites. Oddly enough, 52% of the handle is on Detroit therefore this will be a game ill keep an eye on.

BetOnline and Consensus opened the Stars at -115 and -120 and the sharps hit that number to -150 which opened some value on the Jets as per my model. I don't like the Jets tonight and I agree with the sharps.

The Avalanche were steamed at the book from -104 to -130 and then came in the money on the Wild from +118 to -101. Which sets of sharps will take this one??

Good luck today

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