Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 13, 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lwering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
RECAP: The money was right on the Braves last night however dead wrong on Marshall which lost straight-up being a 10 pts favorite.
We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.
It was an exciting NHL slate last night with high-scoring games. Tonight we have 10 games on the schedule so let's see what happened overnight.
Will the New Jersey Devils still be a bottom-of-standing team this year? We will have to see. On paper, they keep on getting better and better every season however they keep on underperforming. Sharp money landed on them at -110 yesterday afternoon and the line moved as high as -141. An RML pushed the line down to -131 but we still have 80% of the handle on the Devils.
Colorado's offense did not lose a beat and they looked great yesterday. The addition of Lehkonen keeps on looking good as he scored another 2 goals. Tonight they face the Flames which is one of the better games to watch and the money landed on the over 6. The total initially opened at 6 and moved to 6.5 overnight.
In the NBA we have one move that stands out but no official sharp money at the book. the Grizzlies opened at -5 and -5.5 in the US markets and SugarHouse posted a -6 at 9 am and a quick jump to -7 15 minutes later.
In CFB, the total in West Virginia has an interesting story to tell. It was first opened at 62.5 at Consensus and that's when they went "Oh shit we @#(@% up" and adjusted to the market makers opening at about 56.5. At that point, with most of the handle on the over, the line dropped to 54.5 and this morning we are seeing sharp money on the over 54 which moved the total to 55. In a nutshell, we have 2 sets of sharps on this total, a set on the over 54.5 and another set on the under 56.5.
As for TNF, it feels like one of those nights where you don't feel like going out clubbing and then it ends up being a blast and you have the best night ever. I'm debating if I should even watch this game but I don't want to miss it in case it turns out to be a good one.... but what are the odds? If we follow the money in this game, the under is the play. It opened at 40 and it dropped to 37.5 2 days ago and it's now at 38.
Good luck today
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