Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps November 19, 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. RECAP of yesterday's games: No games to recap.
It's been a couple of busy days and I've been getting this info late therefore we skipped the last 2 days.
Saturday will be very busy with a ton of college games and a 13-game NHL slate.
In the NHL the Devils received a soft opening line from the market makers and the sharps jumped on the -125 and -135. The line is now at -143 with 80% of the handle on Jersey and this should keep on increasing once the max bet limits open up.
The Capitals have also received some interest and the books might think the Avs will have a letdown after that big OT win in Carolina. The Caps opened a +133 underdog and currently sitting at +117 with only 19% of the money on them.
There is nothing to report in the NBA and ill do my best to update you in the morning.
In college football, Nix or no Nix, the money didn't give a shit and the line flipped from Oregon -3 to Utah -2. The handles dramatically moved from 53% on Oregon to 70% for Utah. At this rate, Utah will be at -3 in the morning!
Kansas State did a big move from -6 to -8, o the road, in West Virginia. Crossing the key number on the road is a clear indication of sharp money. West Virginia's offense will have to show up in this game if they even want to have a chance. They've been terrible!!
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