Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps November 16, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

RECAP of yesterday's games: Vegas laid an egg to San Jose last night and I am so happy I didn't slam the puck line in that game. The Mavs look like a one-dimensional team that only wants to shoot 3's. They blew a 22 pts lead and didn't cover.

I have some interesting data to share on the Ottawa game. FanDual opened the line before market makers at -172. The line was wagered down to -152 by Buffalo money. Betonline opened at -145 and was wagered up to -164. Wait for the market maker bro!

The model likes the under in OKC but money is moving this total on the over. At the book, we have sharp interest in the over 225.5 and the under 228.5, therefore, this play doesn't qualify to make the sharp report however I still wanted to share the info. Markets makers opened this total at 225.5 and it's currently 229.

The over in Denver made the sharp report early this morning, however, was quickly removed with the 11 am update coming. My model has the total at 228 with Jokic and Gordon out and the total opened at 234. It didn't take much time for the book to adjust the line on low max bet limits since it started getting smart money on the under 233 and 228 pushing the total down to 226.

Good luck today

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