Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps May 16, 2022

3 years ago

Anthony P

While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by setting their bet limits lower when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

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What a crazy weekend. We had a ton of games second to spoil us. It's Monday and it's a quiet one. No NHL and NBA as second rounds will begin on Tuesday. This leaves us with only some baseball.

It's been quiet but I do expect some movement overnight. For now, we have one game where the sharps took some early interest and it is under 8.5 between the Arizona and LA Dodgers. The total opened at 9 in some US markets and ahead of market makers. Betonline opened the total at 8.5 and sharp money came in early but the total hasn't moved yet. My model has this game at 8.1 and agrees with the sharp interest. I definitely don't expect Arizona to put up many runs and as for the Dodgers, only God knows what team will show up. The Dodgers have 7 players with over 100 PA this season and 5 of our 7 are batting under .260 but put up 29 runs in their last 4 games. The pitching match-up does suggest an under as both pitchers shouldn't give up more than 1 or 2 runs however don't pitch deep in games. The Dodgers have a BA of .228 vs LHP, ISO of .130 and wRC+of 95. I'm staying away from this game.

UPDATE:

The sharp report has 3 more totals that sharps jumped on overnight. Claim your free month to get full access to the sharp report. In the meantime, we have 2 sets of sharps in the Miami game however the ones on the Marlins pushed the line up from -145 to -178 at BOL. At some books, we have the Marlins as high as -220. Below is a copy of the MLB model for today! Join our discord server and feel free that you ask me any questions.