Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps July 24, 2022

2 years ago

Anthony P

While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: Sharps and the MLB model didn't really agree on much yesterday however the sharp report shows that the sharps finished their day 3-1-1.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the sharp report in the morning which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

It's SUNDAY!!! Do we have any football yet??? Man, I can't wait!!! Sharps jumped on 4 sides in Baseball today. The Sharp Report has all the info for you! One of the games that the sharps and my MLB betting model agree on is the Angels. Big dog ALERT!!! I wouldn't be surprised to see John on the Angels again today.

The model is showing over 14% EV on the Angels today. Betonline opened the Angels a +173 dog and the sharps decided there was too much value when the moneyline got to +188.

It's been tough to bet against Atlanta lately, and even harder when facing an LHP. The Braves smash lefties, hold the 4th best wRC+, 3rd best ISO, and the best OPS versus lefties. Anderson and the gang will be very popular today, straight up, run line and parlays and that's why I would consider the Angels. Anderson has an ERA of over 5 at home this season but that shouldn't matter since the Angels have barely put up 1.4 runs per game in their last 5 games. I WILL NOT SUPPORT the model and sharps on this game. I think the Braves will close this series with a big win

Good luck today

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