Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps January 11, 2024

4 months ago

Anthony P

While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are pivotal figures in sports betting, shaping the market by setting initial lines. They employ a risk management strategy, starting with lower bet limits to assess early betting patterns and then increasing limits as the market adjusts.

The morning sharp report summarizes overnight developments and is a valuable resource for PRO subscribers. Daily updates keep you informed about changes, with the final update around 4-5 pm EST. Any later movements often result from square money before game time.

To bolster your decision-making, use my betting models alongside the sharp report. When sharp money and the models align, it's a strong indicator for making informed bets.

Let's delve into today's showdown between the market makers and the sharps.

RECAP of yesterday's games: Last night I didn't agree with our play of the day and i made it pretty clear. Congrats to those that tailed my analysis.

In the dynamic world of sports betting, line movements provide valuable insights into where the 'smart money' is heading. This article delves into recent trends in NHL, NBA, and college basketball (CBB) betting, highlighting how sharp bettors influence market movements.

NHL Betting Trends: According to the latest sharp report, there's significant activity in NHL betting. A notable instance is the shift in odds for the Kings, who moved from +135 to +118. Despite their seven-game losing streak and recent struggles to maintain a lead in the third period, sharp bettors are showing interest. This shift in odds is intriguing, especially as they face the Panthers, a team returning from a lengthy road trip and potentially vulnerable to an off-game at home.

Another area of interest is the total goals market. In the Carolina vs. Ducks game, the total moved from 6 to 6.5, despite the betting handle favoring the under. This movement indicates a belief in a higher-scoring game than initially anticipated. Conversely, in Washington, the under is heavily backed, leading to a total drop from 6 to 5.5. Such low totals are relatively rare this season, making this shift noteworthy.

NBA Betting Shifts: The NBA is also witnessing significant line movements. An example is the total points in the Cleveland game in France, which saw a substantial decrease from 228.5 to 222.5. This change suggests that bettors expect a lower scoring affair than the opening line suggested.

College Basketball Dynamics: In college basketball, Maryland has attracted a heavy betting interest against Michigan. The line moved significantly from Maryland being a 4.5-point favorite to 6.5, with 88% of the handle backing them. This shift indicates strong confidence in Maryland, making it a crucial game for bookmakers who will be rooting for an underdog Michigan performance.

Conclusion: Line movements in sports betting offer a glimpse into where informed money is heading and can signal changes in team dynamics, player conditions, and bettor sentiments. As demonstrated in the NHL, NBA, and CBB, understanding these shifts is crucial for both casual bettors and seasoned gamblers. Whether it's assessing team fatigue, predicting a post-road trip performance, or evaluating public sentiment, these movements are a key part of the betting landscape. As always, bettors should wager responsibly, considering these insights as part of a broader strategy.

RECAP: no games today

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