Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps December 7, 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. RECAP of yesterday's games: Islanders under 5.5 and Jets under 6
We have a busy day on Wednesday however we get a break from the World Cup. Not that I was betting on a lot but I always have the need to watch all the games. It happens once every 4 years and it's the biggest event in the world!!!Sharps were way ahead of the markets and squares on the Magic line. Clippers opened at -7 however they will rest Kennard, Wall, and Morris will be out with an illness. Smart money smashed the +7 and +5.5 and the book adjusted the line at +4. Some retail books have been slow to react and you can still get a +6 late Tuesday night.
The Wizards have been allowing 123 pts in their last 5 games and have been scoring on average 121. The over is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings in Chicago. My model has this game at 222. The smart money is on the over in this game. The total opened at 223 late this afternoon and jumped 2.5 pts to 225.5 in the first 2 hours. more to come......
To recap: Magic +6, Bulls over 225.5
Good luck todayWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free Discord server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.
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