Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps December 5, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

RECAP of yesterday's games: On our last edition on Dec 2, the smart money went 1-2 with only North Texas over cashing. Both the Bucs nor Towson didn't cover.

Let's start digging for Monday!

Giannis or not, the sharp money jumped on the Bucks at -7.5 early Sunday afternoon. The -9 also got hit on low max bet limits and the line sits at -9.5 Sunday night. Giannis missed the last game with knee soreness and it's still unclear if he will play however Sunday's line movement might indicate that he might play. There are reports that Lopez might sit out and rest however I would doubt that since they are not playing on Tuesday. Orlando lost their last 8 games and is 1-9 L10. They are 3-7 ATS while the Bucks are 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 games in Orlando.

My model has the Rangers are -225 but they've lost 5 of their last 6. The Blues lost 3 straight and the coach is fed up with Binnington's childish outbursts we can sense some tension in the team. Both teams need a win badly and some US books agree with my projection and received smart money on the Rangers. New York opened at -155 and moved to -172 however you can still find them as low as -157 in other markets.

We have an early game in college basketball on Monday and it will get more attention than it should since all degenerates will jump on it. Max bet limits are at their lowest at $525 at the book. Early handles suggest, even at low limits that sharp took some interest in the under since only 35% of the tickets are on the under while 69% of the money is on the under. The book did drop the total from 127 to 125 Sunday night. In IUPUI and Wisc Green Bay, we have 2 very bad programs. IUPUI is before last in Off and Def efficiency and Green Bay is not far behind.

To recap: Bucks -9.5, NY Rangers -157, IUPUI under 125

Good luck today

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