Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps December 21, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

RECAP of yesterday's games: 1-4 yesterday. No bueno! Smart money took it in the teeth.

Very busy NBA slate on Wednesday and we've already seen some important moves in the markets. Don't forget to always keep an eye on b2b games and injury reports. Also, at this point of the season, we can start looking at games ahead of time since teams may be looking forward to upcoming games and focus less on the current game. It's all about motivation. Ok ok, I've been looking into too much CFB lately.

The Cavs got steamed this afternoon. The game was opened at a pickem around lunch time and by 4 pm the Cavs were 2 pt favs at home. Middleton is still doubtful and unlikely that he will play. This matchup features 2 top defenses but there is no value on the under,

The Pistons will probably lose by double digits to Utah and right after the game they will need to travel to Philadelphia where they will probably lose again by double digits. The Pistons are 1-6 on no rest this season however 4-3 ATS. We can't discount the fact that they are on a 7-1 ATS last 8 road games however playing on b2b nights will be tough for them to continue this trend. Adding to that, they haven't had much success vs the 76ers going 5-13 ATS last 18 games. The Bucks opened a 9 pt fav this afternoon and the line jumped to -11 later afternoon.

The Lighting will be on a road b2b after playing the Leafs. These games are tough to play especially when you played the most hockey games than any team in the last 3 years. Elliot will dress up in Detroit and that's an auto downgrade from Vasilevskiy but he's 7-1 with a GAA of .902 . The Lighting is 2-2 this year on no rest and 4-1 in their last 5 road games. If you are looking for a spot to bet against the Lighting this might be one. Early money is all over Detroit pushing the line in their favor from +155 to +140.

South Alabama's defense was very impressive this year. Western Kentucky's offense was very impressive this year. The game is in a dome. Over or under? Who the fuck knows! Opened at 61.5 and dropped to 53.5 with the news that Reed entered the transfer portal. Then he changed his mind and withdrew from the transfer portal and the total started moving back up and stopped at 57. The handles have been all over the place in this game and with a total of 57, 60% of the bets and handle are on the over. This game will finish between 55 and 61 and the book will make lots of money

To recap: Cavs-2, 76ers -11, Redwings +140, South Alabama under 57

Good luck today

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