Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps December 19, 2023

Market Makers are pivotal figures in sports betting, shaping the market by setting initial lines. They employ a risk management strategy, starting with lower bet limits to assess early betting patterns and then increasing limits as the market adjusts.

The morning sharp report summarizes overnight developments and is a valuable resource for PRO subscribers. Daily updates keep you informed about changes, with the final update around 4-5 pm EST. Any later movements often result from square money before game time.

To bolster your decision-making, use my betting models alongside the sharp report. When sharp money and the models align, it's a strong indicator for making informed bets.

Let's delve into today's showdown between the market makers and the sharps.


RECAP of yesterday's games: A slow second half hurt our over in the Denver game yesterday. It was one of my pro picks also! On to the next one.

In today's sports betting landscape, we're gearing up for an action-packed evening with an 11-game NHL slate, featuring some standout matchups that are sure to captivate fans and bettors alike. Among these, the Rangers versus the Leafs and the Vegas versus Carolina games are particularly noteworthy, promising intense on-ice action.

Delving into the world of odds and line movements, a significant shift has been observed in the Buffalo game. The line has moved from -158 to -175, reflecting a substantial lean, with 76% of the handle and 69% of the tickets favoring Buffalo. This shift indicates a strong confidence among bettors in Buffalo's prospects.

In another interesting development, the Ottawa Senators, following the firing of their coach, have Jacques Martin stepping in as the interim coach. This change has sparked a flurry of betting activity, with the line for Ottawa shifting dramatically from +108 to -111. A whopping 85% of both the handle and tickets are backing Ottawa, a common trend seen when teams debut a new coach.

Transitioning to the NBA, where a smaller, yet no less intriguing, four-game slate is on the cards, all favorites have seen their lines move. New Orleans, originally at -7.5, has moved to -8, with the game's total points dropping from 233 to 230.5. Interestingly, 85% of the handle is on the under, while a dominant 95% is on New Orleans.

The Spurs, missing their star player, have seen their line shift from -14.5 to -16.5, indicating a strong lean towards the Bucks for now, although value on the Spurs could emerge later.

The Celtics' line has moved from -3 to -5, with a substantial 91% of the handle backing them. This shift seems justified as the Warriors will be without Green for the next three weeks, and the initial +3 line appears to have been an underestimation by the books.

In the Phoenix game, the line has moved from -5.5 to -7, with 56% of the handle supporting Phoenix. However, there's notable public interest in Portland, as evidenced by 65% of the tickets being placed on their side.

Switching to college basketball, four games stand out in terms of betting action. Despite only 35% of the handle, Bowling Green's line has moved from -11 to -12.5. Florida, seeing a significant bet from a renowned Whale, has moved from -2 to -3.5, holding 54% of the tickets and 80% of the handle.

Vanderbilt's line shift from -2.5 to -3.5 is also noteworthy, being the third most wagered game, with 60% of the handle favoring the home team.

Finally, in Memphis, an intriguing situation unfolds with 91% of the handle on the under, based on 154 wagers, yet the total has paradoxically moved up from 130.5 to 132.

These movements across NHL, NBA, and college basketball present a fascinating snapshot of the day's betting landscape, reflecting the dynamic nature of sports betting where public sentiment, team changes, and player availability all play crucial roles in shaping the odds.

RECAP: No game

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