Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps December 15, 2022
Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. RECAP of yesterday's games: And we clean up again. 6-0 last 2 days. We had the Warriors over, OKC and Portland. All cashed!I guess the was meant to be for small NBA and CBB schedules so we can all focus and watch Purdy tonight!
We need to go all the way back to Dec 6th when Betonline posted a -4 opening line on the 49ers. Other market makers opened at -1 which forced BOL to adjust their line. They ended up being right since it moved back up to -3.5 and -4 on Dec 12th. The public is heavy on San Francisco and they own 70% of the tickets and 50% of the handle. Bigger bets are on Seattle.
The biggest move in the NBA is the total in Houston. Bottom offense versus a top defense. Miami's offense hasn't been lights out either. The total opened at 223.5 and the smart money didn't wait for the injury report to slam the under to 218.5 12 games in the NHL and nothing stands out. The sharp report is showing 4 games but the moves have been minimal. I'm disappointed.
The same applies to CBB so let's guess which lines will be moving:Wagner at -6 should move upNicholls State -8 should move upTo recap: Miami under 218.5
Good luck todayWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free Discord server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.
Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games
Offers
There are no promotional offers available for the selected region.
