Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps August 30, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: We are back for another edition of the Overnight Grind. Goodluck everyone!!

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

It's that time of the year when things get crazy in baseball. We should start seeing crazy high favs (-400 and over), we will also see big upsets and lots of shit that doesn't make sense.

The sharp report shows is on 4 games tonight:

KANSAS CITY +123
TEXAS +154 +138
OAKLAND OVER 8 -113
WHITE SOX UNDER 8 -118

The Royals were slammed by the sharp as early as yesterday afternoon. They went from +143 to +126 and all the way down to +114. 65% of the handle is on the Royal. There is no more value on the Royals however the model did support the sharps. The White Sox are shit and just got swept by the Diamondbacks. The Royals are playing much better and have Singer on the mount versus "not even baby Jesus knows" which Giolito we will see tonight. The under was also a target from the sharps but the total didn't move.

The Rangers are another underdog that was hit by sharp money. They opened at +161 at the book and sharp money came in at +154 pushing the line down to +138. The Rangers currently own 56% of the handle HOWEVER the squares are heavy on the Astros and 80% of the tickets are on Houston. The model shows no more value on the Rangers and has the moneyline set at +148. I kinda like Houston after seeing the Rangers play versus the Tigers this weekend. Valdez is the 3rd best pitching on the slate tonight (looking at the last 30 days) and went 7 innings in his last 3 starts.

Good luck today

Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games