Val’s Big Payday Parlay December 5th 2022

Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +1284

Straight up Overall Record for the Big Payday Plays 458-646, -14.10 units

Montreal Canadiens +198

The Habs are in Vancouver to play the Canucks tonight. This is a line that seems very high for a team as average as the Canucks, they have a losing record on home ice and needed a comeback to beat the Coyotes on Saturday. The Habs have been exceeding expectations since day one of the season; they put out a great effort more often than not and have beaten a lot better teams than the Canucks on the road. This line is way too high in my opinion for teams that are similar in talent. I will back the Habs tonight.

Dallas Mavericks +145

The Dallas Mavericks (11-11) host the Phoenix Suns (16-7) tonight; the Mavs return home from a mini 2 game road trip where they went 1-1 while the Suns close out their own mini 2 game road trip of their own. This is a matchup that has been dominated by the home team; the home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 contest. Also the Mavs are 9-3 at home while the Suns are below .500 at 4-5 on the road. The Suns will be playing their 4th game in 6 nights and are also dealing with injuries to C. Paul, C. Johnson and J. Crowder so this has the makings of a Mavs victory. I will back them on the money line to not deal with a back door cover.

New Orleans Saints +155

The Saints (4-8) visit the Bucs (5-6) for a NFC South matchup tonight. T. Brady faces his kryptonite in the Saints defense. Since joining the Bucs Brady is 2-6 versus the Saints and their defense has always given him problems. If Brady doesn’t get the proper protection, he cannot be efficient, he was already missing center R. Jensen and now has lost their best tackle in T. Wirfs, so the O Line is in shambles. The Saints still get pressure on the opposing QB and feel like Brady will get pressured often this evening. I like the Saints chances to continue their dominance of Brady and the Bucs.

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