Val's Australian Open Plays - Men's Semifinals


We go 1-1 yesterday but we hit our 2 unit play as Sabalenka won her semifinal match versus Linette in straight sets. Tonight we have 2 semifinal matches on the men's side and I like both favorites.

Record 16-21 -14.28 units

Best bets

Stefanos Tsitsipas -1.5 sets -126 (Start time apx 10:30pm EST)

Greece's Stefanos Tsitsipas faces Russia's Karen Khachanov in the first semifinals matchup tonight at the Aussie Open. Apart from his 5 set marathon match in the 4th round versus Italy's J. Sinner, Tsitsipas has more or less cruised in every one of his matches so far not losing a set. Khachanov has also played well but had some hiccups versus J. Murray Kubler in round 2 and F. Tiafoe in round 3 losing a set in both matches. These two have faced each other five times in the past, three times on outdoor hard court and to say that the Greek has dominated Khachanov is an understatement, he has won all three matches in straight. Khachanov may be lucky enough to win a set here but I cannot see him taking this to a deciding 5th set or winning this match versus Tsitsipas. I like Tsitsipas to take this match in 3 or 4 sets

Risk 2.52 units for 2 units

Novak Djokovic -2.5 sets -177 (Start time apx 3:30am EST)

We have American Tommy Paul facing Serbia's Novak Djokovic in the second semifinal matchup. I'm really happy to see Djokovic at the Aussie Open again as the Australian government really botched it last year by not allowing him to play and it was fans who suffered the most by not being able to see one of the best tennis players ever compete. This is the furthest Paul has ever made it in a major tournament and I'm sure the adrenaline will be pumping in this matchup but I wonder if fatigue will kick in tonight as he's been on court almost 2 more full hours than Djokovic. It has been smooth sailing for Djokovic all tournament as he's beaten really good players in A. Rublev, A. De Minaur and G. Dimitrov in straight sets. I think Paul will test Djokovic during this match but do not feel he will be good enough to take a set from him. I like Djokovic in straight sets here.

Risk 3.54 units for 2 units

GL tonight

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