The Sharp Report for September 22, 2023

This article will be updated throughout the day as I get updates from the sportsbook that I have access to. 

Each section will be explained below, and the time will be added each time the Sharp Report is updated. You can use this information to make your own picks or tail the hot sections. Historically, Sharp bets, Whale plays, Model plays, and square have done very well. Keep in mind that this information comes from a sharp / market maker sportsbook, and the squares (public) playing there are more experienced than regular joe's betting on retail books therefore, you can find success in tailing the public. 

You can find the Sharp Report performance tracker here:

How is everyone feeling this morning? I know many of you were on the over in TNF game and that didn't work out. The Whale had 35 Gs riding on the over. His picks went 0-2 which includes a 50 G bet on the Cubs. Talking about the Cubs, wtf is wrong with them? The model showed lots of value on the Pirates but value doesn't mean they will win... anyway, I have a season wins bet on the Cubs and that cashed. Now pending is Tb under (L), Seattle over, and SF under...

Looking at the tracker, the sharps are now 1-9 in the NFL. This is their worst start since I started tracking all the play. I am looking for them to have a big weekend. WNBA is 13-4 in Sept.


Last update: 4:05 PM (EST) IN PROGRESS 

Sharp money plays:

These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.


MLB:
BOSTON UNDER 9
CUBS -200
LAA +198

CFB:
AIR FORCE -3 9/22 1030PM
BOISE STATE OVER 43.5 9/22 1030PM
FSU +2.5 9/23 12PM
PSU -10.5 9/23 730PM
KANSAS STATE -6.5 9/23 8PM
UNC -7 9/23 8PM
COLORADO OVER 71.5 9/23 330PM
IOWA OVER 40 9/23 730PM
UMASS UNDER 49 9/23 330PM
WASHINGTON UNDER 61 9/23 1030PM

NFL:
NEW ENGLAND -2
DALLAS -12.5
MIAMI UNDER 49
ATLANTA OVER 46
CLEVELAND UNDER 40

NBA/WNBA:
DALLAS +10.5 9/24
NEW YORK -6 9/24

Sportsbook liabilities:

Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


MLB:
NY YANKEES -125
CLEVELAND -105
TEXAS -125

CFB:
CLEMSON +2.5 9/23 12PM
WAKE FOREST -4 9/23 630PM
TEMPLE +23.5 9/23 330PM
SYRACUSE -13.5 9/23 12PM
WEST VIRGINIA +6 9/23 330PM
COLORADO +21 9/23 330PM
MICHIGAN -24 9/23 12PM
WASHINGTON -20.5 9/23 1030PM
SOUTH FLORIDA +2.5 9/23 4PM

NFL:
WASHINGTON +6.5 9/24
ARIZONA +12.5
NY JETS +3
JACKSONVILLE -9
BALTIMORE -7.5
CLEVELAND -3.5

Square top positions:

It is a strategy to bet against the public however as mentioned above, these regular joes are pretty good. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the course of the day.


MLB:
CUBS -242
BALTIMORE -108
ARIZONA -113
SAN DIEGO -163

CFB:
SAN DIEGO STATE +7 9/22 1030PM
FLORIDA STATE -2.5 9/23 12PM
KENTUCKY -14 9/23 12PM
RICE -2.5 9/23 4PM
RUTGERS +24 9/23 12PM

NFL:
NEW ENGLAND -1.5 9/24
BUFFALO -6.5
MIAMI -6.5
DALLAS -12
TENNESSEE +3.5
SEATTLE -6
LA RAMS +3

NBA/WNBA:
LAS VEGAS -10 9/24

Whale plays:

The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.

MLB/NFL:
PADRES -158 35U
PURDUE OVER 54 35U
GUARDIANS +103 35U

The top model plays:

This section covers all the highest EV plays straight from my NHL, NBA, MLB models

MLB/NFL:
OAKLAND +128 11.72%EV

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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