Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps October 19, 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: The Canucks and Preds were highlighted and both failed to win.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

We have a big NBA slate and this is where we will begin. My NBA model is up on the app in a form of an article and we also have our AI predictions in each of the game centers. The AI was strong on the Warriors with a prediction of -16.5. I know it's huge but it cashed.

The sharp report is showing 5 games where the sharps were very active. 4 of them are totals and there is 1 side.

Let's look at other games where sharps were active globally.

The Spurs opened a +3 underdog on October 9 and the line slightly moved to +4 before heavy money started coming in on the Spurs which pushed major market makers to move the line to +2.5, +1.5, and early this morning -1.

The Knicks have seen a 2-point swing in their favor when the handle went from 39% to 60% this morning. New York opened at +6.5 in Memphis and the line is now +4.5.

The biggest total that moved is in San Antonio. We have 2 sets of sharps on this game however the set that is on the under put enough pressure on the books to move the total down. The total opened at 231 and it dropped 7 points and is currently at 224 with 60% of the handle on the under.

In the NHL we have only 3 games and sharps slammed the Kraken from +140 to +120 and the line is now +109. I don't understand a thing in this movement. The Blues are a top-tier team who has scored 3.76 GF/G on the road last year and play a very aggressive style that makes it very hard for teams to keep up. They dominated the Kraken last year winning all 3 games and outscoring them 11-2. They've scored a minimum of 1 PP goal in each of those 3 games and outshot them in 2 of the 3 games. I might have no other choice than to bet the Blue tonight.

We have some CFB tonight!!!!!! This line has been moving between 9.5 and 10.5 for the last 3 days! Georgia State currently owns 66% of the money. Not sure where this line will settle but the sharp report is showing sharp money on Appalachian St at -10.

Good luck today

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